December 13, 2024
Russian Forces Press On With Assaults in Southern Ukraine

Russian forces in current days have launched a number of assaults across the southern Ukrainian village of Robotyne, navy officers and specialists stated, concentrating on land hard-won by Ukraine in a uncommon success of its counteroffensive final summer time.

The Ukrainian Military stated it had repelled 4 consecutive days of assaults from Saturday to Tuesday involving armored automobiles and enormous numbers of troops that had massed within the space.

Open-source maps of the battlefield compiled by impartial teams analyzing fight footage recommend that Russia has made marginal beneficial properties to the west and south of Robotyne. The Institute for the Research of Battle, a Washington-based analysis group, stated on Monday that Russian forces had superior to the western outskirts of the village.

“Take note of the village of Robotyne,” Dmytro Lykhovii, a spokesman for Ukrainian forces preventing within the space, stated on nationwide tv final week. “Evidently the Russians have set a aim of attaining some success there” and deliberate to attempt to seize the village, he stated.

The weekend assaults round Robotyne got here as Russian forces took the frontline metropolis of Avdiivka, about 100 miles to the east, and attacked Ukrainian positions on the east financial institution of the Dnipro River, greater than 130 miles to the west. Navy analysts say these near-simultaneous assaults are designed to use strain throughout the entrance line with a view to scale back Kyiv’s skill to withdraw and replenish exhausted troops and to drive it to burn by its already scarce shares of ammunition.

“They’re attempting elsewhere, testing the Ukrainian defenses,” stated Pasi Paroinen, from the Black Bird Group, which analyzes satellite tv for pc imagery and social media content material from the battlefield. “They’re probing and looking for weaknesses.”

Serhii Kuzan, chairman of the Ukrainian Safety and Cooperation Heart, a nongovernmental analysis group, stated Moscow would attempt to construct on its success on the jap entrance within the coming weeks and “lower off Robotyne at any prices.” He and different analysts stated that Moscow had tens of 1000’s of troops round Robotyne, and he predicted that assaults would intensify.

Russia’s beneficial properties round Robotyne, a village of only a few hundred inhabitants earlier than the struggle, have been restricted thus far. The village fell beneath Russian occupation shortly after Moscow invaded Ukraine in February 2022. It was retaken by Ukrainian forces in August, after weeks of fight that underlined the immense challenges Kyiv faces in punching by dense Russian defenses erected within the space.

As we speak, Robotyne sits in a bulge carved into Russian-held territory, surrounded to the west, south and east by Moscow’s troops. In current weeks, Russian forces have been attacking the flanks of this pocket and steadily recaptured small stretches of land, utilizing what the Ukrainian navy has described as small assault teams backed by armored automobiles.

“The state of affairs is dynamic there, the enemy is inflicting heavy fireplace,” Mr. Lykhovii stated on Monday.

Geolocated footage of the battlefield confirmed Russian assault drones hitting Ukrainian-held trenches only a few hundred yards south of Robotyne. Rybar, a outstanding Russian navy blogger, stated that Russian troops had gained a foothold on the southern outskirts of Robotyne and that preventing was now going down within the village, which was largely diminished to rubble throughout the preventing final summer time. His declare couldn’t be independently confirmed.

Mr. Paroinen, from the Black Fowl Group, stated Russia had retaken some fortifications misplaced in the summertime counteroffensive. He added that Robotyne just isn’t straightforward for Ukrainian troopers to defend as a result of Russian troops management the excessive floor across the space.

“Basically, that’s an enormous downside for the Ukrainians there,” he stated, including that Russia had positioned three divisions round Robotyne, between 30,000 and 40,000 troopers, together with some elite paratrooper items.

Mr. Kuzan, from the Ukrainian Safety and Cooperation Heart, stated he anticipated that a number of the troops concerned within the seize of Avdiivka would now be “redeployed to different components of the entrance line within the coming days,” presumably round Robotyne to assist with the offensive push there.

Ukraine’s navy stated on Monday that its troops had taken up new defensive positions exterior of Avdiivka, in an try to cease additional Russian advances.

Mr. Kuzan and different navy analysts stated that delayed Western navy help had weakened Ukraine’s skill to maintain Russia’s assaults all alongside the entrance line. “The Russians have realized that we’re actually ‘starved of shells,’ that means that we can not reply to each one among their assaults,” Mr. Kuzan stated. “They may proceed to place strain on Robotyne.”

President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine acknowledged in his nightly handle on Monday that “the state of affairs is extraordinarily troublesome in a number of components of the entrance line, the place Russian troops have amassed most reserves.”

Russia, he added, is “benefiting from the delays in assist to Ukraine.”

The European Union on Wednesday stated it will impose new sanctions in opposition to Russia that may goal corporations, together with ones primarily based in China and Turkey, that make elements for drones utilized by Russia in Ukraine.

“We should preserve degrading Putin’s struggle machine,” stated Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Fee, saying the information on social media.

Matina Stevis-Gridneff contributed reporting from Brussels